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Tuesday, November 07, 2006

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Match: Southend – Manchester United
Pick: Manchester United 2 - 1.4

Analysis: Alex Ferguson sent a clear signal when he increased his number of first-team members in the squad traveling to Southend to avoid a near embarrassment as in the previous round against Crewe. Despite the fact that this is the lowest priority in Manchester United’s list of ambitions this season, one cannot help but accept Manchester United is playing wonderful football right now and should possess enough quality to see off a Southend side who are struggling in the Championship even with the fielding of a handful of reserves. Southend would have to rely solely on Eastwood here to get the goals and hope their defense holds out as long as possible. The disparity in class here should be evident and if Manchester United display any sort of rhythm near the one showed against Portsmouth or Bolton, Southend could very well be buried by half-time given their pathetic defensive record in the league. Southend had conceded 31 goals in 16 matches, in contrast to Manchester United’s 5 in 11. All in all, there could only be one result in my eyes and I have to fancy a rampant Manchester United to win easily here. Manchester United to win 3-0.
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Match: Bury – Wrexham
Pick: Bury 1 1.8

Analysis: Bury are on a great run right now and face the prospects of closing the difference between them and the playoffs spot if they manage to grab a win here. They know they certainly have the ability after scoring some fantastic results with their run of 5 consecutive league wins. Morale is high in the home camp, as they look their winning streak against a poor Wrexham. Wrexham’s problem is obvious to all, a leaky backline and a less than prolific frontline. They conceded a whopping 16 goals in their last 4 away league games and a lack of stability upfront with constant changes to the attacking line has hurt them. On the basis of their current form, Bury should have enough in them to outscore that of Wrexham and hence I fancy them to take all 3 points in this one. Bury to win 3-1.

Bury v Wrexham

Bury 5 wins in 5

Wrexham lost last 4 aways to Mansfield 3-0, Harlepool 3-0, Stockport 5-2 and Accrington 5-0!

seems pretty straight forwards but Wrexham have a pretty good record against Bury and if you look closely at Burys stats you'll probrably come to the conclusion that they're more of an away side than a home one!

Bury have only beaten Grimsby and Boston at home so far!

I think it's still likely to end with a Bury victory but if you consider the overs here perhaps we've got a chance even if Wrexham surprise us?

Bury <2.5gls 1 in 7 home

Wrexham <2.5gls 1 in 6 away

Bury have only found themselves behind once at HT all season, 16 games-BTW!



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Match: Montpellier v Tours
Date
: 7/11/05
Time
: 20:00 cet
Recommended bet
: Montpellier -0.75 AH @ 1.90 Pointbet 6/10



Montpellier absolutely MUST win this home match against Tours this Tuesday. The south coast club have had a pretty bad season so far, and they simply cannot afford to fail against Tours. The visitors have been awful all campaign and if Montpellier don’t win, then I fear it might be the end of coach, Jean Francois Domegue. Montpellier have won just 3 games all season, but all of them were very convincing.

At home, they are still a strong force and might well have won all of their home games but for some bad luck. The players will be highly motivated for this match and I expect a good performance. Failure to obtain the 3 points would mean major embarrassment for the Mosson men. They have to win, anything less is unthinkable.

Tours have lost their last 6 games in the ligue, and are rock bottom of the division. The team has been playing well at times, but just hasn’t been able to get the results. Coach, Albert Falette is under extreme pressure and there are rumours that he will resign soon. Tours have lost all of their away games this season in every competition. They have slumped to some terrible road defeats, and this will be another tough trip to Montpellier.

The players will be desperate to obtain some points soon, but confidence isn’t high amongst them. I just cant see them turning things around at Le Stade Mosson. Tours are currently a laughing stock and it would be a major surprise if they obtain anything on the south coast.

Definite Monpellier win for me and the best bet of the day in my opinion.



Montpellier Injured: Clement (B, mid)
Montpellier suspended: None

Tours Injured: Himmer (B, mid), Boutal (C, att), Doukantie (B, mid), Leray (B, def), Gimbert (C ,att)
Tous suspended: None
__________________

SportFootball (France)
EventCaen vs Creteil
SelectionCaen
Strength10/10
Date07/11/2006
Bookmaker/PriceBetfair @ 1.52 (Back)
ReasoningCaen vs Creteil. The best attack (24) vs the worst attack (8). Creteil, in the last 5 games only lost to Metz (1st). Caen only lost to Strasbourg (last 5 games). They scored 10 goals at home conceading only 1. Creteil only scored 4 goals away and conceaded 12. If the stats were reality, Caen would win 3-0, but I expect a close score (1-0).


Caen, after the disappointed final of past season (they lost the promotion just for differential goals) will face Creteil that reached 7 points from the last 3 matches.

Caen is standing at the 3rd rank table: considering Metz out of games (tonight they won again and they have now a big adavantage of points) probable 2 teams will play for promotion placements; Caen is having the similar trend of the last season: very strong and closed team at home (5-2-0; 10:1), and ready to reach the best possible on the road (2-4-2; 14:11).
To note that Caen suffered just 1 lost game on 14 matches played and they have the best attack line (24 goals scored) of Ligue 2.

Creteil, despite the good moment, has a bad record in away (0-2-4; 4:12): they are currently standing at the 14th place, coming out from the hottest zone, thanks to an unbelievable series of home win (3 in a row) just by 1 goal of margin (all won by 1-0).
The main problem of Creteil has been the approach with the outfield games, where they are unable to propose an efficient attack game and they suffered too much the aggressivity of opponents (in the last 4 matches, they lost 3 games in a row and, finally, they reached a clean result against Reims in their last appearance).

Caen started as serious candidate to fight for promotion and all the previews were been motivated: Caen will fight IMO again till the last day and this match will be another step o advance in the table.
CAEN TO WIN, max stake.

2 Comments:

Blogger nindza said...

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Karlsruhe v 1860 Munich

Karlsruhe play for the 4th consecutive win, 7 victories and 3 draws are the ir amazing efforts. They have scored 25 times in 10 games and are 7 points better than the first non-relegation place 4. The 3-0 over Paderborn from Firday was closer as it looks, Karlsruhe did not easy against much improved Paderborn. Anyway, currently it is hard to achieve sth against the KSC.
1860 Munich just beat Essen 2-0, but it was a nervous and not convincing win after they had lost previous 3 games. Maybe this is pushing them now but actually I cant imagine the lions yet have the power to avoid a defeat at Karlsruhe who could also cope with improved lions. Thru the close table standing, 1860 are in touch with place 3 again. In recent away games they used to disappoint and lost 3 of last 4.

Karlsruhe 1.88

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